There are a growing number of us in lockdown states and cancelling all appointments until things open up again. In spite of the President's fantasy that this will happen by Easter I think that is unlikely but that's still several weeks away and I'm not interested in a debate on policy right now. I happen to think lockdown is necessary to insure that our health care system is not overwhelmed and people don't lose their lives unnecessarily.
One question for us is how do we best prepare for the time when the country does open again. At present it's hard to schedule appointments as we don't know if we will be able to keep them and going back and forth rescheduling is difficult not to mention we don't know what the status of those customers will be.What I am doing is continuing to use my email reminder system to alert folks that their pianos are due for service. In my reminder email text I have written that at this time I am not booking any appointments but I am creating a list for those who want me to contact them as soon as we get word that things are opening up again.
Since I use an email system for reminders (which I recommend as it allows you to send global updates and announcements not to mention saves in time and postage), I have simply created a subfolder in my outlook inbox called "post-covid" and the responses I get from those who want me to contact them can be kept in chronological order so I can respond first come first serve. I expect this folder to have quite a few responses by the time this is done and this is an easy way to keep track. I can then go to these emails and simply respond to each one.
'My database system uses a simple excel spreadsheet with a column, among others, for contact date (when they are due for a reminder), and a column for their email address so that I can just copy and paste those email addresses into the Bcc area of the email. Excel allows you to custom sort by any column so you can easily sort by the contact date and see all those who are due in a given month.
I would add to Hannah's very good list of things to do while we are locked down to learn to use excel. It is a very useful program for database use, accounting, and a host of piano applications including calculations for touchweight specs and soundboard design calculations. It's not difficult to learn.For those who are desperate for work there are a number of industries that are hiring including grocery store chains for restocking, big box stores like Walmart and Costco, CVS pharmacies, delivery companies, Amazon, etc. I'll add a link to an article outlining those companies that I saw earlier today.
Here are 700,000 open jobs that need to be filled immediately
These are difficult times for everyone but I'm confident we will come out of this if we remain vigilant and responsible in our actions. Take care of your families and neighbors and let's let this bring out the better angels of our nature.Take care and be well.
I would add to Hannah's very good list of things to do while we are locked down to learn to use excel. It is a very useful program for database use, accounting, and a host of piano applications including calculations for touchweight specs and soundboard design calculations. It's not difficult to learn.For those who are desperate for work there are a number of industries that are hiring including grocery store chains for restocking, big box stores like Walmart and Costco, CVS pharmacies, delivery companies, Amazon, etc. I'll add a link to an article outlining those companies that I saw earlier today.These are difficult times for everyone but I'm confident we will come out of this if we remain vigilant and responsible in our actions. Take care of your families and neighbors and let's let this bring out the better angels of our nature.Take care and be well.
Don,There are two strains on the virus and one is significantly worse than the other for everyone who contracts that strain. Herd immunity is ethically problematic because it suggests (in the 'fine print') that only the healthy deserve to survive this. There are human beings who, through no fault of their own, would not be able to survive this virus, and saying everyone should just get sick and either get over it or die is just...messed up. Sorry to disagree.
Human lives are more important than the economy. I say this even as I know I will likely struggle to have a lot of work for the next year as people recover from this financially. I don't know about you, but I'd rather be ALIVE and BROKE, than dead and the economy is okay. And I think most people feel that way.
If we reopen everything by Easter it will be a catastrophe, as our European friends try to warn us, and we may as well have never closed everything. Unfortunately this will take time. My guess is 2-3 months.
JAPAN Tokyo, the world's biggest city, will be locked down after a surge in coronavirus infections threatened a new explosion of the epidemic in a country that had seemed ...
So true - and there are rising reports of younger and younger deaths. I heard about a four month old today who's in isolation with a carer at a hospital, and very sick, and it broke my heart. 💔
I think people ignoring these things will result in more and more deaths. It's so heartbreaking. I have several family members who are high risk, so my perspective is perhaps a bit more...wary, than some. But I have always been a cautious person, and people at the end of the day will always matter most to me.
Agree with you David - I hope the governments and majority will continue to take this seriously. I think, if they do, in the long run it will shorten the duration of all of this.
"This is not to dismiss the danger of COVID-19 or deny the respect it warrants. But if the reason for that respect is the danger posed to life, limb, and loved ones- we are distorting it with regard to coronavirus, while overlooking many greater threats that hide in plain sight. This is an inevitable consequence of communal fixation at an all but unprecedented scale.
"There is more. Coronavirus severity and mortality are, again based on the best available data we have thus far, massively concentrated among the already chronically ill, and especially among the elderly, as I've noted before. Where the denominator data are most reliable, roughly 99% of cases are reported as mild, posing no threat to life and not requiring hospitalization. The risk of death is highly concentrated among those over age 70 and especially 80, meaning the likelihood of exposure and recovery in the rest of us is considerably better than 99%, and more like 99.9%. Unlike the flu or measles, this infection has shown no tendency at all to cause death in children." --David L. Katz, MD, MPH, FACPM, FACP, FACLMhttps://www.linkedin.com/pulse/coronavirus-mortality-reality-check-david/?trk=portfolio_article-card_titleHow many of those who supposedly died from COVID-19 would have been in line anyhow if this had been the flu that hit them? Not trying to be callous but maybe we're losing sight of the forest for the trees. There are some 7.8 billion people on earth, and the 400,000 COVID-19 cases, the vast, vast majority of which are mild, are mostly just noise that we've blown all out of proportion.Signed,Your Friendly Neighborhood Contrarian
Benjamin – you are looking at broad statistics relating to how many people die from certain ailments and conditions that are ongoing and well-known. This is appropriate for thinking about what you should worry about in your own life during normal times and how to influence policy makers when it comes to long-term efforts to address things like diabetes, heart disease, seasonal flu and so on.
Yes it's true that the large majority of us will be fine. It's likely that fewer than 1 in 10,000 people in the U.S will die from the coronavirus, so the risk to any particular individual is low. That isn't the biggest issue here, although it's a problem of course. Tens of thousands of people dying before their time is something to be concerned about. The biggest problem is that there will be a large and sudden increase in people needing critical care. This will be a huge strain on hospitals. It already is overwhelming certain hospitals in NY City, and it will get far worse in the coming weeks in the City and in other parts of that state with large numbers of cases. Aside from patients dying, medical personnel in Italy and Spain are getting sick and dying at a far higher rate than in normal times. This is starting to happen in NY too. Because of the shortage of PPE, their risk will increase even more, or it might lead to doctors and nurses not being able to do their jobs.
I suggest that you look up reports on what is happening in Spain and Italy, and in hospitals. The New York Times is doing excellent reporting on this, and their articles on the epidemic are free to click on for non-subscribers. Better yet, if you happen to know anyone who works in the medical field, ask them what they think is the right thing to do now. I know an emergency room doctor, and she recently pleaded with people on Facebook to follow our governor's order to minimize social contact as much as possible. I have to assume she knows what she's talking about and that she's not being unreasonable and alarmist. I'm in Washington state.
One question for us is how do we best prepare for the time when the country does open again. At present it's hard to schedule appointments as we don't know if we will be able to keep them and going back and forth rescheduling is difficult